Trading Insights

Trading Insights

automate
June 29, 2021

Asian session trading with TIME

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Today June 06 -21, we have a busy morning. It's a good session though, and I'm using predictive TIMES.

So, for me I just wait until the opening bell at 8:30. I live in Latin America, so my time clock has 1 hour of difference.

If you have the software already, my setup for my predictive time signal software (TachEON Warp) is as follows:

• Swing: 10
• Origination Mode: Trading Days
• Source Days: 1-2-3-4
• Volatility Stop Offset ATR: 1,2

 

 

Tacheon WARP

I excute my positions in 1 minute chart and watch the 3 min chart as the Anchor chart. I also use this chart to filter “the noise”, when I see to much signals closer in the 1 minute chart.

The price in the Asian session has its explosion move, so for my morning New York session the price is in range. Buyers are taking profits and reloading again, that’s my mindset for today.

The first possible entry was the puncture technique (“Puncture1”), but its to early for me. The second possible entry was the “puncture2” but I let I go. So, at 8:53 i open the trade with 4 contracts, the stop loss is 1 tick under the price line of the 8:53 signal, and I hold it.

I must confess that I was nervous with the pullback, but my 1,2 ATR stop offset setup gave me the required “room” to let the trade breathe.

Tacheon WARP

I cover my first 2 contracts with 23,75 ticks. At that point I move my stop loss to breakeven point, and the pullback take out my position.

Then this.

The opening bell starts at 8:30, I let the price run, the movement is violent like always and i am aware of the 8:33 signal in the 3 min chart, so my initial bias can be correct. I left a buy limit order near the 120 EMA but the price in the pullback does not reach the order, so I let the price go.

I am over the 120 EMA. Where do I have the next bullish time signal?, at 8:53, so I have to wait until that time.

 

 

My daily profit target was achieved. $510 usd.

 

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

automate
June 9, 2021

Trading GANN times on the NASDAQ

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Today im trading the E-mini Nasdaq

I have a daily routine in trading. 30 minutes before getting visual contact with my charts. I take my time to meditate with music, in my desktop chair and visualize my entry patterns. Remember that my trading is based on predictive signals, so y anticipates in my mind the Patterns 1 and 2 and the inverted patterns 3 and 4 specifically.

For the E-mini Nasdaq futures market, the price per tick specified by the CME Group is $20 per tick. Always you read my articles, you can find my routine before opening bell as follows:

1. Read my economic calendar.
2. Check the range before the opening bell. Accumulation zone
3. And identify possible range zones y the future. Closer signals in the Warp panel
4. Ready with my ATM of 3 or 4 contracts
5. 3 trades per day

This is my 3minute chart and determine the trend tendency from the Asian session as Bearish. After a big move trend there is always a “pause”; So for today for me I’m waiting before the opening bell, that the Price closes the gap to the 120 EMA, and validate a possible bearish entry.

Trading leading GANN times on the Emini Nasdaq

When the markets open, I wait for a candle that closes under the 120 EMA. My Stop Loss is 1 tick above that candle. At 8:36 that candle appears and I activate the trade. The size of the candle determines $300 of stop loss, that is ok for me and my actual capital...

Leading Predictive Times help guide my trades

Even if I have the 8:37 timestamp signal so closer. In my mind I ignore it. Why?

Because in my 3 minute chart I have enough time space between 8:39 through 8:51. That’s a personal way to reduce the noise, when I found to much closer signals in 1 minute. I can wait for leading predictive times which have more time between them, for longer trades to develop with potentially more profit. 

Watch how the times setup perfectly for my trade

The next step is the manage the trade so in the last 1 min chart shown above I have a window between 8:42 and 8:51 so I hold the trade until that time. I alternate visually between the 2 charts. I also trail my stop in the big picture chart using one candle closed behind the active candle price.

Managing the trade

The next move was so hard that closes my trade in profit.  I ended my day with 3x my personal daily profit. That is $1.640

Taking profit

 

Good trading, everyone!

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

automate
May 28, 2021

Perfection is the enemy of execution

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By Juan Vega, contributing author and trader / Bogota, Columbia

When you are using warp software, there are sometimes when you cannot find the predictive times signals “aligned”.

As a trader, at the beginning I always want the perfect dot in the swing highs and swing lows, telling me, the market is ready, perfect, just execute! But after several failures I asked for help and paid for learning “inversed patterns”. I also have paid for the trading room 2 or 3 years ago, to learn more and ask more, maybe my first 2 or 3 months.
I trade with 2 charts always: My fast time frame chart in 1 minute and my anchor chart in 3 minutes. Sometimes I check the warp panel to identify messy time signals. So, when I see too much signals closer each other, defining me the “range” type market, I use my 3 minute chart more often. My trading session hours are from 7:30 until 11:00am max. I trade the New York Session that its perfect for me.

Today I trade Gold futures market, who pays $10 per tick. And my plan is simple:

1. Read my economic calendar
2. Check the range before the opening bell. Accumulation zone
3. And identify possible range zones y the future. Closer signals in the Warp panel
4. Ready with my ATM of 3 or 4 contracts
5. 3 trades per day

 

Watching predictive indicator for trade entries

At the left I identify the range before, 8:20, so at 8:31 I did not see any violence in the price or a clue to validate my entry. So I said, " if the candle closes over the 120 EMA (the blue one) I open a trade."

And it did it.

Watching what happens at the predictive times

If you check at that time, I have a yellow dot (08:41) Signal. When you have this situation, I just take the dot as an objective profit level; If the price crosses the profit level, I HOLD it until the next price signal (8:48). My ATM for 4 contracts in Gold is, First 2 contracts takes profit @ 20 ticks, Third contract @ 40 ticks and the third one “the runner” @ 80 ticks.

For my Risk management, I just said: “Or pay me the first 2 contracts or activate my Stop Loss”. For this trade My first 2 contracts reaches the first 20 ticks ($400), at that moment my ATM moves my Stop Loss to BE(Break even), and the other two contracts were closed when my time at 8:48 was ended for ($540). At the level defined by the dot signal @ 08:58 I identify a pattern 4, and I was expecting a moderate size candle closing over the yellow line, but it never comes!!.

Executing responsibly at the predictive indicator times

The New Home sales report was lunched, and the price pumped up. I just said “Bye Bye” the candle was too big for me, and never comes back, 50% of the candle to take a risky trade, by price action with lower size position. I ended my day with almost 1k and trade no more. I was satisfied, because I know what to wait, and what the price are doing combined with the predictive signals. My training hours at the beginning of my predictive technique journey paid off the investment sessions.

Juan Fernando Vega
Mechanical Engineer
Bogota-Colombia
Spanish - Support

 

 

automate
May 21, 2021

How I trade predictive time signals

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Contributed by Juan Vega / Futures Trader / Colombia

It’s fascinating been exposed to the 30 largest companies of the US in the future market. The E-mini-Dow represents a portion of the standard Dow Jones industrial average futures. Three months from now I been trading the E-mini dow jones contract using predictive signals in 1 and 3 minutes timeframe.

I also have included in my 1-minute chart the 120 EMA of my 3 minute chart, just to have a visual zone, where the price can react.

The minimum price fluctuation specified by the CME group is $5 dollars. There are other markets more attractive that pays “more” per tick. But what fascinating me is the “behavior” of the market during the predictive times signals that the software gave me in advance. In my chart the yellow dots are selling pressure signals and the white dots are buying pressure signals, you can change the color if you want, it's just my preference.

In markets like NQ or ES I wait the second or third signal after the opening bell, But with the YM, I have tested and open trades during the opening bell. I have included in my trading plan that option only for the YM, I also open trades if I have a signal before like 8:21 or 8:25 and hold until the open.

I also check my economic calendar for the day, just to see the context of the day, but, honestly, I just execute the time cycles trading signals, that my system says to me.

As a result, I open 2 trades in the YM with 4 contracts each trade. I also knew that the housing starts and permits news was at 8:30.

 

 

Patiently I wait the reaction under the 3 min 120 EMA and make the entries when the candle close under the 1 min 120 EMA.

First trade 45 points x $5 x 4 contracts, the second one 100 point x $5 x 4 contracts. I was near the 3k today.

My stop loss changes from 32 pts (32 x $5 x 4=$640) based on the ATR (Average True Range) in that moment for 4 contracts to 64 points for the second trade. This ATR for me is too big, so I wait the candle close confirmation under the 120 EMA.

The predictive signals “aligned” with the swing highs and lows of the movements the institutions have done in the past. I know that, since yesterday.

Now the most beautiful for me, is, I make my day.

What can I do with the rest of my free time?

That’s Professional Trading. Time to think, for family, for me, and create new investments.

Juan Fernando Vega
Bogota-Colombia
Spanish - Support

automate
November 28, 2018

Which personality types are the best traders? (Briggs-Myers test applied)

Trading Insights
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For the past 10 years we've asked ourselves what makes a Trader successful nature or nurture . curious to understand this ourselves how to survey to over a hundred of our customers who are actively trading in Futures and Forex . when we approached them via email ask them if they were not profitable they were still struggling in they're Trading . all of the people we reached out to where at complete a Briggs Myers personality based test . we weren't sure what to expect when the results came back, but when they finally were returned the correlations were staggering . two of the personality types of the 16 possible availabilities shootout with a higher-than-average profitability rate .

According to the Myer's foundation,

"The purpose of the Myers-Briggs Type Indicator® (MBTI®) personality inventory is to make the theory of psychological types described by C. G. Jung understandable and useful in people's lives. The essence of the theory is that much seemingly random variation in the behavior is actually quite orderly and consistent, being due to basic differences in the ways individuals prefer to use their perception and judgment."

Many companies use this test to put their teams together - understanding someone's strength and weaknesses and how they will work with someone else - who perhaps has either complimentary, or conflicting personality types. My own trading partner Ron - was given a test at a company he used to work for - that did contract work for Google and their data server construction. So we knew it was important. 

There is some controversy regarding the accuracy and usefulness of the MBTI test presently - but when our results were returned - we were amazed to see that 2 of the 16 types had staggeringly different performance metrics. And several - including my own  - had abysmally low performance returns. 

I've got the class uploaded and ready for you to view - I taught it to a group of traders in our Las Vegas "EDGE " training series several years back - and the results are still consistently the same. 

https://youtu.be/ZxNE57ypaAg

You can give this test to someone else - or to yourself - and predict your short term success rather accurately....

Want to know more about what we've developed for the trading community?

Click here to take a video demo of the concepts behind our products - and get on our newsletter list where we'll send you free intrada predictions each week for popular futures and forex markets:

https://backtothefuturetrading.com/demo/

If you'd like to take a look at some of our end of day predictive software for traders like you - as well as our line of intraday predictive TIME based tools - please sign up for one of our webinars. 

We have demonstration webinars each week:

Stocks and options /longer term swing trades (Meets every Tuesday)

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6385063425639321345

Intraday predictive signals for futures, equities, and Forex (Meets every Thursday)

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/300000000004294770

You can also learn a lot by subscribing to our YouTube channel.....

https://www.youtube.com/user/BackToTheFutureTradi

Thank you for your time - and remember - the market you trade is not random. 

Next article coming up soon. 

automate
August 27, 2018

The beginning of the end....how the Sun is shutting down the bull run (again)

Trading Insights
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For 10 years, I've observed how markets  - and consequently mass psychology - relate to what WD Gann referred to as "Natural Law", or the, "law of Vibration".

About 9 years into my study of time, I started to see dots connecting like string between crime scene photos in some CSI detective show. Everything started lining up. 

One of my first public verifications - was a prediction I'd made for the last total solar eclipse. I'd gone back and studied over 20 years of the event in question, and noticed that in almost every instance, the market put in a very distinct "w" pattern, and rose from the lower leg of the "w" up past the highs after the eclipse.

Here's a link to that video, if you're interested in the study. You can go back and see for yourself what happened the day after the eclipse - and compare it to my findings....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eoSZSD9VzFY

I find patterns, all the time - like the one I showed everyone in the AUDUSD in my last YouTube post:

In that video, I showed years of patterns - cycles that people just forget to look for....and what to expect "vibrationally".

I've got a very important class for you to download and watch - if you're interested in understanding one of the biggest cycles of them all.

The one that precedes every large recession, and global conflict.

Not the "evangelist claims the end of the world" type stuff. 

The kind of cycles that banks watch - and arguably start with their financial and geo-political influence.

Here's the class - I gave it earlier this summer in my annual Las Vegas trading conference. 

The market has been following the pattern I described in the video - identically since then.

Just like the AUDUSD....just like the solar eclipse patterns.

Note: You MUST DOWNLOAD the file to view it on your PC. Dropbox is not a video player - but will preview the video a few minutes.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/gokv2kccticin6v/VEGAS%20VIP%202%20_%20BIG%20CRASH.mp4?dl=0

I promise - this video is based on science, and cycles you can point to factually. 

Events that happen over and over and over again - if you're watching.

I taught the class to 10 people. I'm giving you the opportunity to view this - and share with as many people as you can before this move happens. 

Don't say you weren't warned. 

Want to know more about what we've developed for the trading community?

Click here to take a video demo of the concepts behind our products - and get on our newsletter list where we'll send you free intrada predictions each week for popular futures and forex markets:

https://backtothefuturetrading.com/demo/

If you'd like to take a look at some of our end of day predictive software for traders like you - as well as our line of intraday predictive TIME based tools - please sign up for one of our webinars. 

We have demonstration webinars each week:

Stocks and options /longer term swing trades (Meets every Tuesday)

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6385063425639321345

Intraday predictive signals for futures, equities, and Forex (Meets every Thursday)

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/300000000004294770

You can also learn a lot by subscribing to our YouTube channel.....

https://www.youtube.com/user/BackToTheFutureTradi

Thank you for your time - and remember - the market you trade is not random. 

Next article coming up soon. 

automate
July 21, 2018

TSLA predictive study with Gann Vibration (FORCE)

Trading Insights
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In this tutorial, I'll demonstrate how we can apply predictive "cause/effect" vibratory studies like WD Gann did to modern day markets and instruments like TSLA. if you like these kinds of studies - please let me know what other markets you'd like me to apply them to and I'll create new workspaces for you for future installments of this series!

Watch and use this video to help determine when to expect TSLA to potentially move in the future, based on its underlying "source code"

https://vimeo.com/281094697

 

Here's where you can download NinjaTrader 7 for free, and connect to the NinjaTrader free End of Day data like I did in the video. There's no charge for it - they keep end of day data open for free forever (remember, you want version 7 for now....)

www.ninjatrader.com

Here's a copy of my workspace for you to upload and use in your analysis. All of the studies I've created on the chart will appear on yours once you load it up:

https://www.dropbox.com/s/2kv7kepw6g769re/TSLA_FORCE_EXERCISE.xml?dl=0

After you download Ninjatrader - you've got to save this file (download direct) to the following folder:

MyDocuments/Ninja7/Workspaces

Once you've done that - you can go to the control panel - connect to the data - and then click "FILE----WORKSPACES----OPEN" to open the file. (If you need help with this let me know......Michael@backtothefuturetrading.com).

And oh.....

Here's the guidebook with the patterns explained from the video...to know what to expect at each of the lines.....

https://www.dropbox.com/s/57jeogrcsz5cv23/Histogram_Guidebook_v3.pdf?dl=0

Want to know more about what we've developed for the trading community?

Click here to take a video demo of the concepts behind our products - and get on our newsletter list where we'll send you free intrada predictions each week for popular futures and forex markets:

https://backtothefuturetrading.com/demo/

We have demonstration webinars each week:

Stocks and options /longer term swing trades (Meets every Tuesday)

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6385063425639321345

Intraday predictive signals for futures, equities, and Forex (Meets every Thursday)

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/300000000004294770

automate
June 1, 2017

Predictive trading indicators for market research

Tags: , , Trading Insights
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Over the course of the last nine years we have been pioneering money and innovative ways to forecast the markets that people are researching and trading using predictive trading Indicators.  The majority of that time we have focused intensely on shorter-term trade set ups, where most of the signals fall within a one minute to a 15 minute or even a 60 Minute time frame. However in the last several years we have begin to explore new ways to analyze the market on even higher time frames including daily bars and end of day bar analyses.

In the following tutorial video several different methods and techniques for projecting what the major Futures and Forex markets will do out into the future. This indicator focuses on 4 predictive phases, whose arrival dates are known out into the future. Using the 4 energy phases - we can anticipate which phase of the 4 is about to come next, and study what usually happens at that phase. In this sense, this Ninjatrader indicator (as well as Tradestation indicator) is unique in it's ability to tell us what should or might happen in the future. 

We also explore the concept of "exertion" levels at these phases. That is to say, we study how far the market moves on average at each of the past phases when we arrive at them. This can give us some sense of knowing how far to expect a market to move when it eventually does move. We'll usually see 2-3 "groups" of exertion levels, as you'll see in the video. These exertion levels are measured at the dates of the past moves, using the predictive market indicators like the Daily Cycle Marker tool.  We demonstrated this technique earlier in our analysis of the 6B, Great British Pound futures instrument. 

Finally - we'll focus on the support and resistance network of the market. Time has 2 components - Time, and Price - that make up every one of these time events. We can focus on the purely horizontal support and resistance levels of these markets, predicting where a move is most likely to go. In addition - and perhaps more accurately - we can see what the "hybrid" angle resistance lines are doing - hybrid lines being a dominant angle that represents that market's unique combination of time and price. Each market has a unique angle it follows, and the video will describe how to find those lines, and how to project movements out into the future using those lines.

The markets in our opinion are not random - in the sense that we can apply these types of predictive analyses to them using predictive market indicators. See how the ES analysis this one morning allows the moderator to call the high and the low of the day before the move occurs - and then watch with him and the students what happens an hour after predicting the market movements.

 

automate
May 23, 2017

Predictive analysis of the 6B Great British Pound futures instrument

Trading Insights
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I just recently concluded an analysis for a customer who was seeking to understand what the Great British pound Futures instrument he was trading might do into the future. In the video below I demonstrated several techniques that Traders can use when doing research into probabilities concerning how the market they trade is most likely to move long-term.

One of the first techniques I recommend Traders use, whether they are Futures Traders or Forex Traders or even equities Traders is to examine the seasonality of their instrument over several years. For example if you are studying an instrument in March it would be helpful to look at how that instrument moved in March over the past several years. New Traders are surprised to see that there are patterns in terms of price action that repeat year after year after year in the instrument that their trading.

Another useful technique involves measuring how far the moves during that seasonality occur. To see how far these moves occur during these seasonal impulse moves, how far that is to say how many ticks or how many Pips does the market actually move? In the video below you'll see that there are clearly repetitions of movement that is to say measured moves that are occurring quite frequently in the Great British pound the past several years.

We can also use a predictive indicator like the Flux daily cycle markers indicator for ninjatrader to help us anchor the patterns that were studying during these seasonal movements. The Flux daily marker indicator is particularly helpful as it provides anchor points, predictive anchor points for us to look at the movements during the seasonality we're examining and researching. Flux daily cycle markers indicate phase one, phase 2, phase 3, and Phase 4 market movements. What  the market does at each of these phases during the season we're examining can give us a clue as to where we are in the cycle and what to expect next at the upcoming date.

Watch the video and please leave comments below. I'm curious to see what you think about this analysis in one of the methods and techniques are useful to you as you study and analyze the market you're Trading

 

 

automate
May 18, 2017

A novel Ninjatrader Indicator for longer term swing trading Forex pairs, Futures, and Equities

Tags: , , Trading Insights
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Good morning and thank you for using this website in researching how to trade the pairs or instruments that you're trading. Every so often we come across customers are looking to make investments that last longer than a few minutes or a few hours. These customers can best be described as swing Traders, looking for positions that last anywhere from 3 to 7 days or longer.

We've been developing Ninjatrader indicators now for close to 10 years, and over the course of our development of indicators for people using ninjatrader or tradestation we've come across several tools that have the ability to predict knows that last this duration of time into the future. One such indicator for ninjatrader is the Flux Daily Cycle Markers indicator. Listen to cater is unique, because it tells you days into the future when one of four phases is going to arrive in the market that you're trading. There are four phases in total two of which implied buying pressure in the market two of which imply selling pressure in the market. A paragraph

This particular Ninjatrader indicator is exciting for customers like the one mentioned in this video I'm about to post below because it provides a platform for building a discretion free trading system that is entirely rules-based with stocks that are known ahead of time and target's that are based on times in the future as opposed to fixed targets. Having a time based target, as opposed to a fixed target, in many cases provides a profit that can exceed traditional lagging trail stops, or fixed targets based on platform trail stops like Tradestation, or Ninjatrader indicators.

Watch the video, and then leave comment or email me to understand more about how you can use predictive indicators as opposed to lagging indicators in the future when looking to place longer-term swing trades.