Trading Insights

Trading Insights

July 28-2021 – E-mini Nasdaq

Trading Insights
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Today I continue with my Nasdaq setup trading at 8:30 opening bell for the New York session. For today we have GDP, Jobless claims and Pending Home Sales index

The Warp signals are using the secondary time value, where I put my 3 minute chart signals “over” the 1 minute chart of the same instrument. In that way I have more space between the signals. I'm using this setup since last week

I open my first trade at 8:33, before the candle closes the 120 EMA with 3 contracts. This is a risky trade cause the candle still alive and don't cross the 120 EMA, I'm aware of that.

I want to close at least 2 contracts at 8:35. When the price closes at that time, I like to trailing my stop loss candle by candle. As a risky trade by my early entry I move my stop loss at point of break even. The time of 8:35 expires so I use the green line defined by the dot as my objective for my first two contracts

The move reaches my objective and cover more than my daily goal ($500 usd) fast.

What i do when I see a big candle like this is move the stop loss at the green line and wait until next time stamp at 8:44. So candle by candle stops me out, or i reach the time stamp objective.

Then I just trail my stop as I explain before.

I cover my last contract with the big move and end my day happy.

33.5 Ticks x $20 x 2 contracts: $1.340

95.25 Ticks x $20 x 1 contract: $1.905

Total for the day $3.245

I'm very happy, the wild animal of Nasdaq controlled by Predictive signals, its a cute kitten.

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

 

July 22-2021 – E-mini Nasdaq

Trading Insights
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For today trading New York session on the E-mini Nasdaq we have Jobless claims, at 8:30, Existing Home sales at 10 am. I like to check the daily news to be aware of the price action at those times.

 

In my 1 minute chart. The near predictive time signal is at 8:42 am. My Warp signals are using the secondary time value, where I put my 3 minute chart signals “over” the 1 minute chart of the same instrument. In that way I have more space between the signals.

Interfaz de usuario gráfica  Descripción generada automáticamente

I open my first trade at 8:42 when the candle closes, and with that big candle I move my stop loss at point of break even.

By price action I decide to move the stop loss at the tail of the candle in the mini pullback.

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And I get stopped out.

I tried a second entry when I identify a pattern 4 in the 8:48 time stamp signal, I drew a countertrend line, and wait a candle that closes above it. The price came back again and stop me out.

The last Entry was at 9:09. I applied the same line I drew in the entry #2 and wait for a strong candle that closes over the line, and at last, this trade pays the day. I hold the position until 9:30 and close the trade manually.

Gráfico, Histograma  Descripción generada automáticamente

For today 28.75 ticks in the E-mini Nasdaq ($575 usd)

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

 

1 Minute Charts and DOW

Trading Insights, Uncategorized
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July 15-2021

I have been trading the Emini Dow Jones for a while and have defined a standard setup for my fast 1 minute chart as follows.

  • Swing:8
  • Origination Mode: Trading Days
  • Source Days: 1-2-3-4
  • Volatility Stop Offset ATR: 1,2

I have noticed that sometimes not always, a have too much closer dot signals, and when it happens, I just saw my 3 minute chart in another screen. Cause I like to see all my 1 minute chart in one screen, I take advantage of one utility of the Warp software called “Secondary Data Series”.

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It allows me to:

  1. “overlap” any major timeframe of the same instrument in my actual chart,
  2. Or put the data and predictive signals of another instrument “over” my actual instrument.

For today I am using the first one.

So, I used the same swing of 8, like always, and add the same instrument contract YM 09-21 but with a period value of 3.

It means that in my 1 minute chart I can see the dots signals of the 3 minute chart of the YM.

I want more clean signals, and as result I expect better swing trades during my Ney York session.

I always used the color white and yellow, for my dot signals in 1 minute chart, but for this setup I change the colors.

Red for selling pressure signals, and lime green for buying pressure signals.

My trading plan is the same, trading the YM with 3 contracts.

As I expected the time between predictive signals are longer (More distance). So, I decided to open my first trade at 8:21 a little bit late. The entry signal was at 8:19. Also knowing that the opening bell was at 8:30. After the price cross the last swing high, I move my stop loss at point of break even.

My daily profit goal is $500 usd, and 1 minute before the open were achieved. I think “let’s wait until 8:42” but take some profits first.

So, the momentum of the opening bell, closed the first 2 contracts.

When I have a big move like this, its ok for me to expect a least a 50% pullback or deeper, and with that in mind, I move my stop loss, a little below that point.

My last contract was covered, and I end my trading morning session.

Interfaz de usuario gráfica  Descripción generada automáticamente

For today with 3 contracts, @$5 per contract, I have:

60 ticks x 2 contracts x $5 = $600 usd

36 ticks x 1 contract x $5 = $180 usd

Total earned: $780 usd

Total ticks: 156

Stop loss: 16 ticks (@$5 x 3c =$240 usd)

Ratio: 0.3

It’s a good trade for me. I will continue using this configuration setup for other instruments.

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

 

Emini Nasdaq Trade Overview

Trading Insights, Uncategorized
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July 08-2021

Today I have selected the Emini Nasdaq (NQ) for my trading session. For those who read my articles I love days with news.

For this morning I want to share the 5 minute NQ chart, to show the type of market in the Asian session. Remembering the 3 types of markets; A bullish market, when you see higher highs and higher lows, a bearish market, when you see higher lows with lower lows, and a market in range when you see the price in lateral way. When you have a strong movement like this, always ends in a range. So, for my New York session I must be aware of that.

I love to check my calendar for today and watch if my predictive software signals appears at the same time.

For my trading plan I use the 3 and 1 minute charts. My predictive software WARP shows me in the 3 minute chart, Bearish pression after the opening bell. That’s my zone of interest. That time of window.

My setup for my predictive time signal software is as follows for the NQ (E-Mini Nasdaq):

  • Swing:10
  • Origination Mode: Trading Days
  • Source Days: 1-2-3-4
  • Volatility Stop Offset ATR: 1,2

Interfaz de usuario gráfica  Descripción generada automáticamente

With that in mind for today I will trade in the 1 minute chart, supervising the big moves in my 3 minute chart. My interest time zone: 08:33 am to 09:00 am.

At the open the 8:32 signal, is inverted and I identify a Pattern 4. At the left I identify the bottom as relevant support zone (3 white circles). The price goes up until the 120 EMA in 3 minutes and I wait to reverse and crosses back the 120 EMA in 1 minute timeframe. I use the Puncture technique. (When the price closes under or above the 120 EMA, I take a long or a short position trade)

I cover fast the 2 first contracts, and the third one. At the left you see the last bottom Lower Low swing, so I think to take profits there, or until 08:59 am.

So, I move my profit to a lower position. And move the Stop loss to break even, one candle before the active one. The prices “jumps” back and close my last position. I could take more profits in the initial lower low, but this is my runner contract, and I like to explore the market, you never know.

Nasdaq is a “beast”, I must be focused and concentrated. When I trade the Emini Nasdaq I do not trade other markets at the same time.

For today 112 ticks, that’s a great trade for me. $2,240 usd, using predictive time signals.

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

 

Trading With Signals on the Dow Jones

Trading Insights
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July 01-2021

Starting a new month, almost half a year now.

Trading Wednesdays a Thursdays for some people are hard, and they are freaking out their minds cause the “relevant” news.

My predictive software reduces all hesitations and put me in the “execute” technique mode. Just following some basic steps, I have a full guide of the modern predictive modelling algorithm software to validate my entries.

My setup for my predictive time signal software is as follows for the YM (E-Mini Dow Jones):

  • Swing:8
  • Origination Mode: Trading Days
  • Source Days: 1-2-3-4
  • Volatility Stop Offset ATR: 1,2

In my 3 minute chart a identify at the bottom from 8:30 to 8:51 what will be a selling pressure zone, after taking this screen capture, I wait until the opening bell that for me, is at 8:30 am, after that I will execute my entries in the 1 minute chart.

So, my Trading setup will have the 3 minute Anchor chart at the left and my execution 1 minute chart at the right.

At the opening bell I thought that I could have a reverse P4 pattern at 8;29, but the wick of the candles, tell me that the price was rejected. So, the Bias at 3min chart, going down was right.

I open my first trade, cover my first 2 contracts, move my SL (Stop loss), to point of break even + 2 and stop me out 1 contract. That was fast. Now I want a pullback to sell again.

Fast as I can when I saw the wick of the candle, I put another sell limit order.

The same trade as the last one, I cover 2 contracts and the third one stop me out at point of break even. During the active candle I activate a sell direct order to the market.

The third one is my last chance to reach my daily goal, and the time window in 3 minute chart still open until 8:46. My first 2 contracts were covered. After that I hold my last position until 8:46. When I have big candles, I like to trail my stop or at 50% of the body, or above of the candle if it has a regular size. My target was reached before I explore the closing time at 8:46.

So, for today 2 entries reacting to my fast ATM Breakeven point move that were stopped out.

And the third one that gave me the movement that I wanted and have identify previously at the 3 minute chart.

122 Ticks for the Dow Jones today ($610), and my daily target reached.

Warp Software and the predictive signals rules!!

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

 

Asian session trading with TIME

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Today June 06 -21, we have a busy morning. It's a good session though, and I'm using predictive TIMES.

So, for me I just wait until the opening bell at 8:30. I live in Latin America, so my time clock has 1 hour of difference.

If you have the software already, my setup for my predictive time signal software (TachEON Warp) is as follows:

• Swing: 10
• Origination Mode: Trading Days
• Source Days: 1-2-3-4
• Volatility Stop Offset ATR: 1,2

 

 

Tacheon WARP

I excute my positions in 1 minute chart and watch the 3 min chart as the Anchor chart. I also use this chart to filter “the noise”, when I see to much signals closer in the 1 minute chart.

The price in the Asian session has its explosion move, so for my morning New York session the price is in range. Buyers are taking profits and reloading again, that’s my mindset for today.

The first possible entry was the puncture technique (“Puncture1”), but its to early for me. The second possible entry was the “puncture2” but I let I go. So, at 8:53 i open the trade with 4 contracts, the stop loss is 1 tick under the price line of the 8:53 signal, and I hold it.

I must confess that I was nervous with the pullback, but my 1,2 ATR stop offset setup gave me the required “room” to let the trade breathe.

Tacheon WARP

I cover my first 2 contracts with 23,75 ticks. At that point I move my stop loss to breakeven point, and the pullback take out my position.

Then this.

The opening bell starts at 8:30, I let the price run, the movement is violent like always and i am aware of the 8:33 signal in the 3 min chart, so my initial bias can be correct. I left a buy limit order near the 120 EMA but the price in the pullback does not reach the order, so I let the price go.

I am over the 120 EMA. Where do I have the next bullish time signal?, at 8:53, so I have to wait until that time.

 

 

My daily profit target was achieved. $510 usd.

 

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Trading GANN times on the NASDAQ

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Today im trading the E-mini Nasdaq

I have a daily routine in trading. 30 minutes before getting visual contact with my charts. I take my time to meditate with music, in my desktop chair and visualize my entry patterns. Remember that my trading is based on predictive signals, so y anticipates in my mind the Patterns 1 and 2 and the inverted patterns 3 and 4 specifically.

For the E-mini Nasdaq futures market, the price per tick specified by the CME Group is $20 per tick. Always you read my articles, you can find my routine before opening bell as follows:

1. Read my economic calendar.
2. Check the range before the opening bell. Accumulation zone
3. And identify possible range zones y the future. Closer signals in the Warp panel
4. Ready with my ATM of 3 or 4 contracts
5. 3 trades per day

This is my 3minute chart and determine the trend tendency from the Asian session as Bearish. After a big move trend there is always a “pause”; So for today for me I’m waiting before the opening bell, that the Price closes the gap to the 120 EMA, and validate a possible bearish entry.

Trading leading GANN times on the Emini Nasdaq

When the markets open, I wait for a candle that closes under the 120 EMA. My Stop Loss is 1 tick above that candle. At 8:36 that candle appears and I activate the trade. The size of the candle determines $300 of stop loss, that is ok for me and my actual capital...

Leading Predictive Times help guide my trades

Even if I have the 8:37 timestamp signal so closer. In my mind I ignore it. Why?

Because in my 3 minute chart I have enough time space between 8:39 through 8:51. That’s a personal way to reduce the noise, when I found to much closer signals in 1 minute. I can wait for leading predictive times which have more time between them, for longer trades to develop with potentially more profit. 

Watch how the times setup perfectly for my trade

The next step is the manage the trade so in the last 1 min chart shown above I have a window between 8:42 and 8:51 so I hold the trade until that time. I alternate visually between the 2 charts. I also trail my stop in the big picture chart using one candle closed behind the active candle price.

Managing the trade

The next move was so hard that closes my trade in profit.  I ended my day with 3x my personal daily profit. That is $1.640

Taking profit

 

Good trading, everyone!

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

Perfection is the enemy of execution

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By Juan Vega, contributing author and trader / Bogota, Columbia

When you are using warp software, there are sometimes when you cannot find the predictive times signals “aligned”.

As a trader, at the beginning I always want the perfect dot in the swing highs and swing lows, telling me, the market is ready, perfect, just execute! But after several failures I asked for help and paid for learning “inversed patterns”. I also have paid for the trading room 2 or 3 years ago, to learn more and ask more, maybe my first 2 or 3 months.
I trade with 2 charts always: My fast time frame chart in 1 minute and my anchor chart in 3 minutes. Sometimes I check the warp panel to identify messy time signals. So, when I see too much signals closer each other, defining me the “range” type market, I use my 3 minute chart more often. My trading session hours are from 7:30 until 11:00am max. I trade the New York Session that its perfect for me.

Today I trade Gold futures market, who pays $10 per tick. And my plan is simple:

1. Read my economic calendar
2. Check the range before the opening bell. Accumulation zone
3. And identify possible range zones y the future. Closer signals in the Warp panel
4. Ready with my ATM of 3 or 4 contracts
5. 3 trades per day

 

Watching predictive indicator for trade entries

At the left I identify the range before, 8:20, so at 8:31 I did not see any violence in the price or a clue to validate my entry. So I said, " if the candle closes over the 120 EMA (the blue one) I open a trade."

And it did it.

Watching what happens at the predictive times

If you check at that time, I have a yellow dot (08:41) Signal. When you have this situation, I just take the dot as an objective profit level; If the price crosses the profit level, I HOLD it until the next price signal (8:48). My ATM for 4 contracts in Gold is, First 2 contracts takes profit @ 20 ticks, Third contract @ 40 ticks and the third one “the runner” @ 80 ticks.

For my Risk management, I just said: “Or pay me the first 2 contracts or activate my Stop Loss”. For this trade My first 2 contracts reaches the first 20 ticks ($400), at that moment my ATM moves my Stop Loss to BE(Break even), and the other two contracts were closed when my time at 8:48 was ended for ($540). At the level defined by the dot signal @ 08:58 I identify a pattern 4, and I was expecting a moderate size candle closing over the yellow line, but it never comes!!.

Executing responsibly at the predictive indicator times

The New Home sales report was lunched, and the price pumped up. I just said “Bye Bye” the candle was too big for me, and never comes back, 50% of the candle to take a risky trade, by price action with lower size position. I ended my day with almost 1k and trade no more. I was satisfied, because I know what to wait, and what the price are doing combined with the predictive signals. My training hours at the beginning of my predictive technique journey paid off the investment sessions.

Juan Fernando Vega
Mechanical Engineer
Bogota-Colombia
Spanish - Support

 

 

How I trade predictive time signals

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Contributed by Juan Vega / Futures Trader / Colombia

It’s fascinating been exposed to the 30 largest companies of the US in the future market. The E-mini-Dow represents a portion of the standard Dow Jones industrial average futures. Three months from now I been trading the E-mini dow jones contract using predictive signals in 1 and 3 minutes timeframe.

I also have included in my 1-minute chart the 120 EMA of my 3 minute chart, just to have a visual zone, where the price can react.

The minimum price fluctuation specified by the CME group is $5 dollars. There are other markets more attractive that pays “more” per tick. But what fascinating me is the “behavior” of the market during the predictive times signals that the software gave me in advance. In my chart the yellow dots are selling pressure signals and the white dots are buying pressure signals, you can change the color if you want, it's just my preference.

In markets like NQ or ES I wait the second or third signal after the opening bell, But with the YM, I have tested and open trades during the opening bell. I have included in my trading plan that option only for the YM, I also open trades if I have a signal before like 8:21 or 8:25 and hold until the open.

I also check my economic calendar for the day, just to see the context of the day, but, honestly, I just execute the time cycles trading signals, that my system says to me.

As a result, I open 2 trades in the YM with 4 contracts each trade. I also knew that the housing starts and permits news was at 8:30.

 

 

Patiently I wait the reaction under the 3 min 120 EMA and make the entries when the candle close under the 1 min 120 EMA.

First trade 45 points x $5 x 4 contracts, the second one 100 point x $5 x 4 contracts. I was near the 3k today.

My stop loss changes from 32 pts (32 x $5 x 4=$640) based on the ATR (Average True Range) in that moment for 4 contracts to 64 points for the second trade. This ATR for me is too big, so I wait the candle close confirmation under the 120 EMA.

The predictive signals “aligned” with the swing highs and lows of the movements the institutions have done in the past. I know that, since yesterday.

Now the most beautiful for me, is, I make my day.

What can I do with the rest of my free time?

That’s Professional Trading. Time to think, for family, for me, and create new investments.

Juan Fernando Vega
Bogota-Colombia
Spanish - Support

Which personality types are the best traders? (Briggs-Myers test applied)

Trading Insights
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For the past 10 years we've asked ourselves what makes a Trader successful nature or nurture . curious to understand this ourselves how to survey to over a hundred of our customers who are actively trading in Futures and Forex . when we approached them via email ask them if they were not profitable they were still struggling in they're Trading . all of the people we reached out to where at complete a Briggs Myers personality based test . we weren't sure what to expect when the results came back, but when they finally were returned the correlations were staggering . two of the personality types of the 16 possible availabilities shootout with a higher-than-average profitability rate .

According to the Myer's foundation,

"The purpose of the Myers-Briggs Type Indicator® (MBTI®) personality inventory is to make the theory of psychological types described by C. G. Jung understandable and useful in people's lives. The essence of the theory is that much seemingly random variation in the behavior is actually quite orderly and consistent, being due to basic differences in the ways individuals prefer to use their perception and judgment."

Many companies use this test to put their teams together - understanding someone's strength and weaknesses and how they will work with someone else - who perhaps has either complimentary, or conflicting personality types. My own trading partner Ron - was given a test at a company he used to work for - that did contract work for Google and their data server construction. So we knew it was important. 

There is some controversy regarding the accuracy and usefulness of the MBTI test presently - but when our results were returned - we were amazed to see that 2 of the 16 types had staggeringly different performance metrics. And several - including my own  - had abysmally low performance returns. 

I've got the class uploaded and ready for you to view - I taught it to a group of traders in our Las Vegas "EDGE " training series several years back - and the results are still consistently the same. 

https://youtu.be/ZxNE57ypaAg

You can give this test to someone else - or to yourself - and predict your short term success rather accurately....

Want to know more about what we've developed for the trading community?

Click here to take a video demo of the concepts behind our products - and get on our newsletter list where we'll send you free intrada predictions each week for popular futures and forex markets:

https://backtothefuturetrading.com/demo/

If you'd like to take a look at some of our end of day predictive software for traders like you - as well as our line of intraday predictive TIME based tools - please sign up for one of our webinars. 

We have demonstration webinars each week:

Stocks and options /longer term swing trades (Meets every Tuesday)

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6385063425639321345

Intraday predictive signals for futures, equities, and Forex (Meets every Thursday)

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/300000000004294770

You can also learn a lot by subscribing to our YouTube channel.....

https://www.youtube.com/user/BackToTheFutureTradi

Thank you for your time - and remember - the market you trade is not random. 

Next article coming up soon.