Trading Insights

Trading Insights

Emini-S&P 500

Trading Insights
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We are starting the week with one major ahead at 9:15.

Today a trade the EMini ES with the setup show in the next picture, using the WARP predictive software.

I take 2 trades. The first one at 8:30 with 4 contracts. Stop loss 1 tick above the red line of the timestamp at 8:30, first objective at the green line defined by the 7:49 am time stamp, to grab some profits, and for the other 2 contracts I want to hold them until the las lower low at 7:50 or until the 8:39 time expires that is the next time signal

The first 2 contracts were covered

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And I move my Stop loss at point of break even

The next objective it’s the lower low at my left. I move closer the stop loss because the time window ends at 8:39, and the price could reverse.

My Stop loss close my last contract as expected.

The second entry is a puncture technique at the line plotted by the 8:42 am time stamp. 2 contracts covered for the 1:1 profit

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At this point, I move my stop loss at point of BE. The 8:48 time stamp could reverse as a pattern 5, so I covered the third contact manually

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For the last one I follow the price with each closed candle until it stops me out

You could also leave that last contract until 9:09 and would be a winner too, you decide.

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish – Support

Skype: juanvegam

 

DOW JONES (Emini-YM)

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There are sometimes when the opening could be messy like today in the Emini Dow Jones.

Based on the indicator setup you have for your Warp predictive software you will have more or less number of printed dots.

I open trades in 1-minute charts always. Check the 8:28 timestamp in the chart below 2 minutes before the opening. As you read in my articles, I don’t like to open trades before the opening bell. Sometimes I do but based on the previous analysis I take the risk. This time stamp forms a pattern 5 when the candle closes at minute 28, I just wait, the price bounces on the 120 EMA of 3 minutes (Grey one) at minute 33. The price goes back to the last high (8:09 Time stamp), but never cross that high, So I think, when the price crosses the 120 EMA (Turns blue) I take the short. At minute 37 is the first try, you could open a trade there. When the market seems to be messy, I like to wait a second attempt, so, in the candle of the minute 36, I open the trade.

Now be aware of the timestamp at 8:45, if the price continues going lower, and time finishes, creating a lower low, a pattern 4 will be created. For that reason, I take partial profits (2 contracts).

For the last contract I move my stop loss at point of breakeven, and leave it, I want to see if I can reach the next timestamp (9:02)

As expected, the price reverses, and take me out.

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish – Support

Skype: juanvegam

 

Are you ready for fast Movements?

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This article combines different techniques for Warp predictive software. These techniques are described in the last articles. You can read them and understand the terminology, and the concepts read here.

The promise of Warp predictive software is, when you see a signal just trade them following few rules. In other articles I explain that personally I don’t like to exactly the open I wait after 3 minutes and give it a try.

Today before the open in the Emini Nasdaq, there was a red dot bearish stamp signal at 8:30 , let’s say very tempting. I decide to trade it. Nasdaq is fast, and my advice for you is, that if you never have trade Nasdaq at 1 minute chart, do it in mayor timeframes like 3 or 5 minutes.

**Always wait until the candle closes**. Five (5) seconds before it closes, I hit the sell button:

Mentally i:

  • Know that a pattern 4 will be formed (reverses), the price is creating lower lows at the 8:30 stamp.
  • Check at my left the last Lower low
  • Draw a line to help me to see it
  • That low is my first take profit zone (I want to cover my first contract there (some cash in!!). When I cover the contract, I move mi SL at BE point.
  • Where? I used the green line plotted by the 8:13 am stamp
  • I ask to myself? where do I cover my second contract?
    • Option 1: at 8:54
    • Option 2: Split the distance between 8:30 and 8:54 in three parts and cover the contract in the first third.
    • Option3: If I cover the first contract and my SL is in place, I leave it: or Stop me out or I reach option1.

That’s my mental process but all this analysis happens in less than 2 minutes after I open the trade.

In this chart, ATM automatically move 1 SL to BE. My hand is in the second contract ready to move it to BE if first contract is covered.

First contract covered in the last low., I’m in the minute 31…

The price reverse so fast and stop me out. The option 3 of my initial analysis was fulfilled.

This chart will help you to understand the steps

Nearly $600 usd in minute trade, really fasttt!!!!

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish – Support

Skype: juanvegam

 

Pattern 1, Crossover and puncture Techniques for Warp Predictive Software

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When you see me trading Emini Nasdaq using Warp predictive software I use the green dots over the 120 EMA as buy signals; It’s called Pattern #1.

The red dots under the 120 EMA are used as sell signals and is called Pattern #2. When you buy the software, you have all these configurations in a Handbook in PDF format.

For today with the setup that I have for my predictive signals, shows me my first buy opportunity at 8:37. At this point you open the first trade (ENTRY 1), this is a Buy P1 pattern, and with 2 contracts or more you can:

  • Take profit at the las high first, move your SL at point of break even and,
  • Close the second contract or rest of the contracts at 8:51 when the time for that candle in the 1-minute chart ends.
  • Or you can close all contacts at 8:51

For the entry number 2 (ENTRY 2 in the chart) I used the crossover EMA 120 technique. You wait until the candle closes under the 120 EMA, open the trade, the stop loss is above 1 tick over the candle, and you take profits at the next timestamp when the time of that candle expires.

For the entry number 3 (ENTRY 3 in the chart) I used the puncture technique. It consists in wait a candle that crosses and close under the green level defined by the 9:03 signal and open a trade short. The stop loss is above the candle 1 tick and you can grab 5 to 8 ticks of that move easily.

There you have it, Pattern 1, Crossover and puncture Technique for Warp predictive Software and the correct way to manage risk and take profits.

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish – Support

Skype: juanvegam

 

ARE YOU AFRAID OF BIG CANDLES?

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When I’m ready to open a trade using predictive WARP software, I use a predefined simple plan. There are 4 techniques defined to use when you trade with our software.

  • Buy or Sell above or below the 120 EMA, when you have a white or a blue dot
  • Buy or Sell when a candle closes over the 120 EMA
  • Buy or sell on a stablished defined point using the candle closed over the line the dot prints.

I have already explained them few past articles before. But under my armor, I have other advanced tips that I want to share.

Today I trade Nasdaq, and we have DGO (Durable Good Orders) and EIA Petroleum Status Report news for today. At my charts I have a vertical green line, that remembers me, to trade after the opening bell when the minute 33 is ended. With that in mind, the rule of this trading system tells me to open a trade at 8:34. But the candle at the minute 32 is so big that ending that minute, as fast as I can I put a Buy Limit order at 50% of the movement, expecting to enter in a lower price.

The price makes the pullback and activate my trade. So, for BIG CANDLES use the 50% pullback technique. If you don’t want to do that type of moves, you just wait until the 8:34 signal to open the trade, you can choose.

I have an ATM defined for the Nasdaq so my stop loss, and profit targets for 4 contracts are defined. The price continues with previous momentum and closes 2 positions and I move fast my stop loss at break-even point.

When that happens, I just apply some risk management concepts. From now until 8:37 I am going to trail my stop, candle by candle but, I want to see a second week candle to do that.

The prices go higher and covers my third contract, and I keep moving my trailing stop

When the 8:37 timestamp signal ends, I can close the trade or wait and see if “they” want to push higher the price until the red line that the timestamp signal drew in the chart. My last contract is the “runner” I’m I profit, so I can explore that option.

The price stops me out and I ended my day in 9 minutes of trading. Now you have another technique under your personal trading armor.

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish – Support

Skype: juanvegam

 

August 16-21 – Emini Nasdaq (NQ)

Trading Insights
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There are 4 techniques defined to use when you trade with our software.

  • Buy or Sell above or below the 120 EMA, when you have a white or a blue dot (I use red and green dots in this setup)
  • Buy or Sell when a candle closes over the 120 EMA
  • Buy or sell on a stablished defined timestamp using the candle closed over the line the dot prints.

In this article I use Warp (Predictive software) to explain the last one that is what I did today. We also don’t have major news, its Monday and the last week of the summer season.

If you read my articles remember that I defined a setup to have more space between the predictive signals. At the New York session open, my first signal is at 8:29 over the 120 EMA and for the Nasdaq I like to trade after the 8:33 minute, just to see how the price action reacts. So, I wait until the next signal that is at 8:45. That signal tell me to buy, but the candles before the timestamp (8:45) are making lower lows. The candle at 8:46, the white one, did not close above the last candle also.

I’m a little bit cassius, draw a trendline above the candles, trying to find a breakout of it. The price crosses the 120 EMA, and appears my first opportunity to go short. But I used the predefined signal at 8:45, to wait the puncture of that level. What it means is that I am waiting a candle that going down closes under that level. When that happens, I open my trade and go short.

My daily goal is $500 usd, I draw a yellow line from my entry point that has 30 ticks of distance that’s $600 usd for one contract of the Nasdaq

When the price reaches that level, I move my stop loss tight to the active candle, and in the pullback, it stops me out, for a $575 usd profit target

The same puncture technique could be used at the 9:06 line, that’s the entry 2, with a 51 ticks profit move until the next signal 9:21am

Hope this article helps you to understand the puncture technique.

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

 

August 12-21 – Emini Nasdaq (NQ)

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When i tell to the people that i trade the Emini Nasdaq in 1 minute chart, they used to say: “You are crazy” or “its to fast for me”

They didn't realize that are other intelligent ways to have a good lower risk with data mining. Warp is the software the allow me to achieve that task. Take a look.

Today was an special day, a lot of news that may you think: “Stay aware” of the volatility or just reduce your positions.

For risk management all is valid as long protect and preserve your capital. But when i trade the Nasdaq i open positions with 4 contracts, the size of my account allow me to do that.

At my predictive time stamp for today I have a sell signal at 8:31 am and at 9:00 am.

I just trigger the bottom at those times when the candle closes at the timeframe of 1 minute

Both trades gave me 57, 5 ticks x $20usd = $1.150 usd

My daily goal is of $500 so, 34 minutes of trading was enough for me. I like to watch the market sometimes until 11:00 am and today the market ends for me like this: 101 ticks from 8:30 am to 11:00 am for $2,030 usd.

All markets are predictable including Nasdaq with this technique; using Warp software (Data Mining – Predictive signals)

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

 

August 5-2021 – Emini Dow Jones (YM)

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I love Dow Jones with his long moves and personality. My new setup allows me to see more distance between the dots, to avoid “noise” between them.

I trade at 8:30 for the opening bell for the New York session, and some times I like to open a position before the opening bell. Only with this instrument I do that.

Today the news has already happened, I am 1 hour late, so I open my first trade. I saw my first stamp time signal at 8:25 and decide to enter long.

I cover my first contract, and the second contract stops me out at the break even point. I decided to open a second trade after i get stop out, fast and cover the new first new contract, when I saw this big candle. At that moment both contracts are at the break even point. I let the second one runs and close it at 8:35

I change to a new chart, I alternate between them in one i have a swing of 8 and in the other a swing of 15, thats why you see different time stamps between the images. And le the trade ends at 8:43

Now I wait until 8:54. I open my trird trade, with 2 contracts and close it at 9:06 the first one.

When the candle closes at that time stamp y move my stop loss under the candle and the next candle stops me out

This day I made with the Dow Jones 98 Ticks @ $5 = $490 usd in 35 minutes of time

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

 

July 28-2021 – E-mini Nasdaq

Trading Insights
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Today I continue with my Nasdaq setup trading at 8:30 opening bell for the New York session. For today we have GDP, Jobless claims and Pending Home Sales index

The Warp signals are using the secondary time value, where I put my 3 minute chart signals “over” the 1 minute chart of the same instrument. In that way I have more space between the signals. I'm using this setup since last week

I open my first trade at 8:33, before the candle closes the 120 EMA with 3 contracts. This is a risky trade cause the candle still alive and don't cross the 120 EMA, I'm aware of that.

I want to close at least 2 contracts at 8:35. When the price closes at that time, I like to trailing my stop loss candle by candle. As a risky trade by my early entry I move my stop loss at point of break even. The time of 8:35 expires so I use the green line defined by the dot as my objective for my first two contracts

The move reaches my objective and cover more than my daily goal ($500 usd) fast.

What i do when I see a big candle like this is move the stop loss at the green line and wait until next time stamp at 8:44. So candle by candle stops me out, or i reach the time stamp objective.

Then I just trail my stop as I explain before.

I cover my last contract with the big move and end my day happy.

33.5 Ticks x $20 x 2 contracts: $1.340

95.25 Ticks x $20 x 1 contract: $1.905

Total for the day $3.245

I'm very happy, the wild animal of Nasdaq controlled by Predictive signals, its a cute kitten.

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support

 

July 22-2021 – E-mini Nasdaq

Trading Insights
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For today trading New York session on the E-mini Nasdaq we have Jobless claims, at 8:30, Existing Home sales at 10 am. I like to check the daily news to be aware of the price action at those times.

 

In my 1 minute chart. The near predictive time signal is at 8:42 am. My Warp signals are using the secondary time value, where I put my 3 minute chart signals “over” the 1 minute chart of the same instrument. In that way I have more space between the signals.

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I open my first trade at 8:42 when the candle closes, and with that big candle I move my stop loss at point of break even.

By price action I decide to move the stop loss at the tail of the candle in the mini pullback.

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And I get stopped out.

I tried a second entry when I identify a pattern 4 in the 8:48 time stamp signal, I drew a countertrend line, and wait a candle that closes above it. The price came back again and stop me out.

The last Entry was at 9:09. I applied the same line I drew in the entry #2 and wait for a strong candle that closes over the line, and at last, this trade pays the day. I hold the position until 9:30 and close the trade manually.

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For today 28.75 ticks in the E-mini Nasdaq ($575 usd)

Juan Fernando Vega

Mechanical Engineer

Bogota-Colombia

Spanish - Support