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Perfection is the enemy of execution

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By Juan Vega, contributing author and trader / Bogota, Columbia

When you are using warp software, there are sometimes when you cannot find the predictive times signals “aligned”.

As a trader, at the beginning I always want the perfect dot in the swing highs and swing lows, telling me, the market is ready, perfect, just execute! But after several failures I asked for help and paid for learning “inversed patterns”. I also have paid for the trading room 2 or 3 years ago, to learn more and ask more, maybe my first 2 or 3 months.
I trade with 2 charts always: My fast time frame chart in 1 minute and my anchor chart in 3 minutes. Sometimes I check the warp panel to identify messy time signals. So, when I see too much signals closer each other, defining me the “range” type market, I use my 3 minute chart more often. My trading session hours are from 7:30 until 11:00am max. I trade the New York Session that its perfect for me.

Today I trade Gold futures market, who pays $10 per tick. And my plan is simple:

1. Read my economic calendar
2. Check the range before the opening bell. Accumulation zone
3. And identify possible range zones y the future. Closer signals in the Warp panel
4. Ready with my ATM of 3 or 4 contracts
5. 3 trades per day


Watching predictive indicator for trade entries

At the left I identify the range before, 8:20, so at 8:31 I did not see any violence in the price or a clue to validate my entry. So I said, " if the candle closes over the 120 EMA (the blue one) I open a trade."

And it did it.

Watching what happens at the predictive times

If you check at that time, I have a yellow dot (08:41) Signal. When you have this situation, I just take the dot as an objective profit level; If the price crosses the profit level, I HOLD it until the next price signal (8:48). My ATM for 4 contracts in Gold is, First 2 contracts takes profit @ 20 ticks, Third contract @ 40 ticks and the third one “the runner” @ 80 ticks.

For my Risk management, I just said: “Or pay me the first 2 contracts or activate my Stop Loss”. For this trade My first 2 contracts reaches the first 20 ticks ($400), at that moment my ATM moves my Stop Loss to BE(Break even), and the other two contracts were closed when my time at 8:48 was ended for ($540). At the level defined by the dot signal @ 08:58 I identify a pattern 4, and I was expecting a moderate size candle closing over the yellow line, but it never comes!!.

Executing responsibly at the predictive indicator times

The New Home sales report was lunched, and the price pumped up. I just said “Bye Bye” the candle was too big for me, and never comes back, 50% of the candle to take a risky trade, by price action with lower size position. I ended my day with almost 1k and trade no more. I was satisfied, because I know what to wait, and what the price are doing combined with the predictive signals. My training hours at the beginning of my predictive technique journey paid off the investment sessions.

Juan Fernando Vega
Mechanical Engineer
Spanish - Support



How I trade predictive time signals

Tags: , , , , , Trading Insights
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Contributed by Juan Vega / Futures Trader / Colombia

It’s fascinating been exposed to the 30 largest companies of the US in the future market. The E-mini-Dow represents a portion of the standard Dow Jones industrial average futures. Three months from now I been trading the E-mini dow jones contract using predictive signals in 1 and 3 minutes timeframe.

I also have included in my 1-minute chart the 120 EMA of my 3 minute chart, just to have a visual zone, where the price can react.

The minimum price fluctuation specified by the CME group is $5 dollars. There are other markets more attractive that pays “more” per tick. But what fascinating me is the “behavior” of the market during the predictive times signals that the software gave me in advance. In my chart the yellow dots are selling pressure signals and the white dots are buying pressure signals, you can change the color if you want, it's just my preference.

In markets like NQ or ES I wait the second or third signal after the opening bell, But with the YM, I have tested and open trades during the opening bell. I have included in my trading plan that option only for the YM, I also open trades if I have a signal before like 8:21 or 8:25 and hold until the open.

I also check my economic calendar for the day, just to see the context of the day, but, honestly, I just execute the time cycles trading signals, that my system says to me.

As a result, I open 2 trades in the YM with 4 contracts each trade. I also knew that the housing starts and permits news was at 8:30.



Patiently I wait the reaction under the 3 min 120 EMA and make the entries when the candle close under the 1 min 120 EMA.

First trade 45 points x $5 x 4 contracts, the second one 100 point x $5 x 4 contracts. I was near the 3k today.

My stop loss changes from 32 pts (32 x $5 x 4=$640) based on the ATR (Average True Range) in that moment for 4 contracts to 64 points for the second trade. This ATR for me is too big, so I wait the candle close confirmation under the 120 EMA.

The predictive signals “aligned” with the swing highs and lows of the movements the institutions have done in the past. I know that, since yesterday.

Now the most beautiful for me, is, I make my day.

What can I do with the rest of my free time?

That’s Professional Trading. Time to think, for family, for me, and create new investments.

Juan Fernando Vega
Spanish - Support