Tag time cycle

Tag time cycle

Perfection is the enemy of execution

Tags: , , , , , , Trading Insights
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By Juan Vega, contributing author and trader / Bogota, Columbia

When you are using warp software, there are sometimes when you cannot find the predictive times signals “aligned”.

As a trader, at the beginning I always want the perfect dot in the swing highs and swing lows, telling me, the market is ready, perfect, just execute! But after several failures I asked for help and paid for learning “inversed patterns”. I also have paid for the trading room 2 or 3 years ago, to learn more and ask more, maybe my first 2 or 3 months.
I trade with 2 charts always: My fast time frame chart in 1 minute and my anchor chart in 3 minutes. Sometimes I check the warp panel to identify messy time signals. So, when I see too much signals closer each other, defining me the “range” type market, I use my 3 minute chart more often. My trading session hours are from 7:30 until 11:00am max. I trade the New York Session that its perfect for me.

Today I trade Gold futures market, who pays $10 per tick. And my plan is simple:

1. Read my economic calendar
2. Check the range before the opening bell. Accumulation zone
3. And identify possible range zones y the future. Closer signals in the Warp panel
4. Ready with my ATM of 3 or 4 contracts
5. 3 trades per day


Watching predictive indicator for trade entries

At the left I identify the range before, 8:20, so at 8:31 I did not see any violence in the price or a clue to validate my entry. So I said, " if the candle closes over the 120 EMA (the blue one) I open a trade."

And it did it.

Watching what happens at the predictive times

If you check at that time, I have a yellow dot (08:41) Signal. When you have this situation, I just take the dot as an objective profit level; If the price crosses the profit level, I HOLD it until the next price signal (8:48). My ATM for 4 contracts in Gold is, First 2 contracts takes profit @ 20 ticks, Third contract @ 40 ticks and the third one “the runner” @ 80 ticks.

For my Risk management, I just said: “Or pay me the first 2 contracts or activate my Stop Loss”. For this trade My first 2 contracts reaches the first 20 ticks ($400), at that moment my ATM moves my Stop Loss to BE(Break even), and the other two contracts were closed when my time at 8:48 was ended for ($540). At the level defined by the dot signal @ 08:58 I identify a pattern 4, and I was expecting a moderate size candle closing over the yellow line, but it never comes!!.

Executing responsibly at the predictive indicator times

The New Home sales report was lunched, and the price pumped up. I just said “Bye Bye” the candle was too big for me, and never comes back, 50% of the candle to take a risky trade, by price action with lower size position. I ended my day with almost 1k and trade no more. I was satisfied, because I know what to wait, and what the price are doing combined with the predictive signals. My training hours at the beginning of my predictive technique journey paid off the investment sessions.

Juan Fernando Vega
Mechanical Engineer
Spanish - Support



The rise of the machines....Google enters the trading arena with it's proprietary TIME solution

Tags: , , Trading Insights
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There has been a steady increase in the use of computing power to give the financial institutions an even stronger edge and strangle hold over how markets are traded, and dominated by the one percent of wealth controllers in the world. With regards to how computers and developments like artificial intelligence are affecting how these institutional edges are growing, we have no farther to look than which technologies are being funded by the largest wealth holders.

One of the most advanced trading technology companies was recently pushed on to the world stage, when whistleblower Eric Snowden mentioned a company called "Palantir" in regards to his revelations that  US government agencies were leveraging techologies at the bleeding edge to collect metadata on Americans using their phones domestically. A closer look at Palantir however shows us that finance, technology - and governments are becoming increasingly strange bedfellows.

In this article, Forbes talks about Palantir - a mega powerful software package - and who is using it:"

"Well, for starters, one of the world’s largest hedge funds, with also one the most sophisticated quant teams, is an outspoken user of Metropolis - the new name for Palantir Finance....In financial analysis, Palantir Metropolis can provide the big-picture, collaborative structure, which allows sophisticated users to target their advanced quant deep dives more effectively."

The future of trading it seems, is no longer a mastery of technical indicators - the type of revolution we saw in the 90's and early 2000's. Now - it's about who controls the data.

Google - is now making it's global network of connected computer infrastructure available to financial institutions, in part because it has a unique and unparalleled ability to sync it's data around the world - to the same time - using GPS satellites. Listen to how important TIME is to that ability, in this article:

"No one else has ever built a system like this. No one else has taken hold of time in the same way. And now Google is offering this technology to the rest of the world as a cloud computing service

Google believes this can provide some added leverage in its battle with Microsoft and Amazon for supremacy in the increasingly important cloud computing market, just because Spanner is unique. And some agree. “If they offer it, people will want it, and people will use it,” says Peter Bailis, an assistant professor of computer science at Stanford University who specializes in massively distributed software systems."

They go on to tell us:

"The volume of data—and velocity with which that data is coming at us—is amplifying significantly,” says JDA group vice president John Sarvari.

Spanner could also be useful in the financial markets, allowing big banks to more efficiently track and synchronize trades happening across the planet. And Google says it’s already in talks with large financial institutions about this kind of thing. Traditionally, many banks were wary of handling trades in the cloud for reasons of security and privacy. But those attitudes are softening. A few years ago, Spanner was something only Google needed. Now, Google is banking on change.

It seems traders who are relying on the same paradigm of lagging technical indicators - beholden to the traditional regime of "trading room gurus" have ever increasing competition with an ever dwindling edge pool. Once Google unleashes the power of it's "Spanner" infrastructure - traders who are not using leading data mining indicators like the FLUX system of Ninjatrader indicators will find themselves at a severe disadvantage.